Cwmbran Celtic vs Caerau (Ely): result 3-2 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 10Kick-off on October 21, 2023 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Celtic Park, Cwmbran, Monmouthshire
Full time
What was the result of Cwmbran Celtic vs Caerau (Ely)?
Cwmbran Celtic won 3-2 on October 21, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 6′?Cwmbran Celtic
- 30′?Caerau (Ely)
- 36′?Cwmbran Celtic
- 60′?Cwmbran Celtic
- 77′?Caerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cwmbran Celtic have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | Penybont(home) | 0-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Abertillery Bluebirds(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Taffs Well(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Trefelin(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 4-4 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2023 | Afan Lido(home) | 4-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Llantwit Major(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Cardiff Corinthians(home) | 3-2 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Cwmbran Celtic wins, 0 draws, 1 Caerau (Ely) win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2020 | Caerau (Ely) 1-2 Cwmbran Celtic | FAW Championship |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Cwmbran Celtic 2-0 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Caerau (Ely) 0-1 Cwmbran Celtic | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 15, 2014 | Cwmbran Celtic 0-2 Caerau (Ely) | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Caerau (Ely) vs Cwmbran Celtic on Mar 7, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Cwmbran Celtic score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 2.3 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cwmbran Celtic | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
A question about Cwmbran Celtic vs Caerau (Ely)?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy