Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido: result 0-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 10Kick-off on October 21, 2023 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot
Full time
What was the result of Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido?
Afan Lido won 0-1 on October 21, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 90′I. EvansAfan Lido
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 5 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Afan Lido have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 0-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Abertillery Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Taffs Well(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 16, 2023 | FC Cwmaman(home) | 5-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2023 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 1-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Llantwit Major(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Cardiff MET(home) | 0-4 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Baglan Dragons wins, 0 draws, 1 Afan Lido win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2023 | Baglan Dragons 1-3 Afan Lido | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido on Jul 21, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Baglan Dragons score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 13; Afan Lido score 2.1 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/13 | 9/13 |
| Afan Lido | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baglan Dragons sit 5th in FAW Championship (17 points from 11 matches) and Afan Lido sit 10th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 12 |
A question about Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy