Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido: result 0-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 10Kick-off on October 21, 2023 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot
Full time
What was the result of Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido?
Afan Lido won 0-1 on October 21, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 90′I. EvansAfan Lido
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 5 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Afan Lido have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 0-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Abertillery Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Taffs Well(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 16, 2023 | FC Cwmaman(home) | 5-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2023 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 1-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Llantwit Major(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Cardiff MET(home) | 0-4 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Baglan Dragons win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Afan Lido win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2023 | Baglan Dragons 1-3 Afan Lido | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido on Jul 21, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Baglan Dragons score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 13; Afan Lido score 2.1 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/13 | 9/13 |
| Afan Lido | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baglan Dragons sit 5th in FAW Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Afan Lido sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy