Match

Czarni Połaniec vs Jarosław: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MKS Czarni Połaniec, Połaniec

Czarni PołaniecJarosław

The Footlab AI model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Jarosław. The most likely score is 1-1. If Czarni Połaniec wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,292 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Czarni Połaniec vs Jarosław?

On Elo ratings, Czarni Połaniec has 1,798 points and Jarosław 1,702.

57%22%21%
Czarni Połaniec winDrawJarosław win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Czarni Połaniec vs Jarosław

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Czarni Połaniec

Not enough data to predict the Czarni Połaniec lineup.

Jarosław

Not enough data to predict the Jarosław lineup.

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 11:42 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Czarni Połaniec have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Jarosław have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Czarni Połaniec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 13, 2026Wisłoka Dębica(away)4-1III Liga - Group 4
Nov 7, 2026Sokół Kolb.(home)3-2III Liga - Group 4
Oct 31, 2026Jarosław(away)2-2III Liga - Group 4
Oct 24, 2026Busko-Zdroj(home)2-1III Liga - Group 4
Oct 17, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(home)0-0III Liga - Group 4
Jarosław
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(home)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Nov 8, 2026Busko-Zdroj(away)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Oct 31, 2026Czarni Połaniec(home)2-2III Liga - Group 4
Oct 25, 2026Hetman Zamosc(away)0-1III Liga - Group 4
Oct 17, 2026KSZO 1929(home)1-3III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Czarni Połaniec wins, 1 draw, 1 Jarosław win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Jarosław 2-2 Czarni PołaniecIII Liga - Group 4
Jul 15, 2026Czarni Połaniec 1-4 JarosławFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Jarosław vs Czarni Połaniec on Oct 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Czarni Połaniec score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jarosław score 2.0 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Czarni Połaniec1.71.539/158/15
Jarosław2.01.8212/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Czarni Połaniec sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 4 (31 points from 17 matches) and Jarosław sit 13th (18 points from 17 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Czarni Połaniec17944292331
13Jarosław17539333218

A question about Czarni Połaniec vs Jarosław?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Czarni Połaniec vs Jarosław?
The Footlab AI model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Jarosław.
Where and when is Czarni Połaniec vs Jarosław played?
Czarni Połaniec vs Jarosław is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MKS Czarni Połaniec, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Czarni Połaniec and Jarosław