Match

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Star Starachowice: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Lubaczów

Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówStar Starachowice

The Footlab model makes Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Star Starachowice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Star Starachowice?

Star Starachowice starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,765 vs 1,635).

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win38 %
Draw26 %
Star Starachowice win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Star Starachowice have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026KSZO 1929(away)0-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Wisła Kraków II(home)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Naprzód(away)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Moravia Morawica(home)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(home)0-1III Liga - Group 4
Star Starachowice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Busko-Zdroj(home)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Czarni Połaniec(home)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Hetman Zamosc(away)0-3III Liga - Group 4
Aug 9, 2026KSZO 1929(home)0-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Wisła Kraków II(away)2-4III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Star Starachowice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 29, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 3-1 Star StarachowiceIII Liga - Group 4
Nov 15, 2025Star Starachowice 1-0 Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówIII Liga - Group 4
Mar 9, 2025Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 1-3 Star StarachowiceIII Liga - Group 4
Aug 17, 2024Star Starachowice 1-0 Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówIII Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Star Starachowice on May 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów1.31.5210/159/15
Star Starachowice1.31.9211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów sit 18th in III Liga - Group 4 (1 points from 5 matches) and Star Starachowice sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Star Starachowice5122585
18Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów5014271

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Star Starachowice?
The Footlab model makes Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Star Starachowice.
Where and when is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Star Starachowice played?
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Star Starachowice is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów and Star Starachowice

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