Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Star Starachowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Lubaczów
The Footlab model makes Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Star Starachowice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Star Starachowice?
Star Starachowice starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,765 vs 1,635).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Star Starachowice have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Star Starachowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 3-1 Star Starachowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Star Starachowice 1-0 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 1-3 Star Starachowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Star Starachowice 1-0 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Star Starachowice on May 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Star Starachowice | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów sit 18th in III Liga - Group 4 (1 points from 5 matches) and Star Starachowice sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 18 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Star Starachowice?
- The Footlab model makes Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Star Starachowice.
- Where and when is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Star Starachowice played?
- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Star Starachowice is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027Chełmianka ChełmvsBusko-Zdroj
- May 15, 2027KSZO 1929vsWisłoka Dębica
- May 15, 2027Hetman ZamoscvsSokół Kolb.
- May 15, 2027Czarni PołaniecvsJarosław
- May 15, 2027Wiślanie JaśkowicevsKorona Kielce II
- May 15, 2027Wisła Kraków IIvsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- May 15, 2027NaprzódvsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- May 15, 2027Moravia MorawicavsPodlasie Biała Podlaska