Naprzód vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Naprzód, Jędrzejów
The Footlab model makes Naprzód the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naprzód vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Naprzód (1,692) and Siarka Tarnobrzeg (1,718).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naprzód have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Siarka Tarnobrzeg have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jarosław(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Naprzód win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Naprzód 0-0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg 4-0 Naprzód | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Naprzód vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Naprzód score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Siarka Tarnobrzeg score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naprzód | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naprzód sit 12th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Siarka Tarnobrzeg sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Naprzód | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 16 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naprzód vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?
- The Footlab model makes Naprzód the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
- Where and when is Naprzód vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg played?
- Naprzód vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Naprzód, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027Chełmianka ChełmvsBusko-Zdroj
- May 15, 2027KSZO 1929vsWisłoka Dębica
- May 15, 2027Hetman ZamoscvsSokół Kolb.
- May 15, 2027Czarni PołaniecvsJarosław
- May 15, 2027Wiślanie JaśkowicevsKorona Kielce II
- May 15, 2027Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsStar Starachowice
- May 15, 2027Wisła Kraków IIvsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- May 15, 2027Moravia MorawicavsPodlasie Biała Podlaska