Match

Naprzód vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Naprzód, Jędrzejów

NaprzódSiarka Tarnobrzeg

The Footlab model makes Naprzód the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Naprzód vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Naprzód (1,692) and Siarka Tarnobrzeg (1,718).

Naprzód win41 %
Draw25 %
Siarka Tarnobrzeg win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naprzód have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Siarka Tarnobrzeg have 1, 5 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Naprzód
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(home)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Moravia Morawica(away)2-4III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home)2-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Korona Kielce II(home)5-4III Liga - Group 4
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Sokół Kolb.(away)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Jarosław(home)1-3III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Busko-Zdroj(away)4-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Czarni Połaniec(home)0-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026Hetman Zamosc(away)1-1III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Naprzód win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026Naprzód 0-0 Siarka TarnobrzegIII Liga - Group 4
Oct 4, 2025Siarka Tarnobrzeg 4-0 NaprzódIII Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Naprzód vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Naprzód score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Siarka Tarnobrzeg score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Naprzód1.51.827/159/15
Siarka Tarnobrzeg1.42.0111/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Naprzód sit 12th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Siarka Tarnobrzeg sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Naprzód52039136
16Siarka Tarnobrzeg5113684

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Naprzód vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?
The Footlab model makes Naprzód the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
Where and when is Naprzód vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg played?
Naprzód vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Naprzód, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Naprzód and Siarka Tarnobrzeg

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