Dagon vs Yadanarbon: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
The Footlab AI model makes Dagon the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Yadanarbon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dagon wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dagon vs Yadanarbon?
Dagon starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,344 vs 1,224).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dagon vs Yadanarbon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dagon
Not enough data to predict the Dagon lineup.
Yadanarbon
4-3-3- 8Aung Thu
- 9Paing Yan
- 11Naing Thet
- 16Ko Tun Myo
- 26Yint Tun Ye
- 5Aung Si Thu
- 3Than Win Thein
- 2William Biassi Nyakwe
- 30Myo Aung Nay
- 24Oo Kyaw Thet
- 25Lyan Aung Pyae
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dagon have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Yadanarbon have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | I.S.P.E(away) | 2-2 | National League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ayeyawady United(away) | 5-0 | National League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hantharwady United(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Yangon United(away) | 0-4 | National League |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Thitsar Arman(away) | 2-2 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Myawady(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Yangon Royals(away) | 0-0 | National League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | GFA(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Dagon Port(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Yangon United(home) | 2-3 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dagon wins, 2 draws, 2 Yadanarbon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Dagon 2-1 Yadanarbon | National League |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Yadanarbon 2-2 Dagon | National League |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Yadanarbon 4-2 Dagon | National League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Dagon 1-1 Yadanarbon | National League |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Dagon 2-1 Yadanarbon | National League |
| Mar 16, 2023 | Yadanarbon 2-1 Dagon | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Dagon score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Yadanarbon score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dagon | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Yadanarbon | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dagon sit 1st in National League (7 points from 3 matches) and Yadanarbon sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dagon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Yadanarbon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
A question about Dagon vs Yadanarbon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dagon vs Yadanarbon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dagon the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Yadanarbon.
- Where and when is Dagon vs Yadanarbon played?
- Dagon vs Yadanarbon is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at Thuwunna Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.