Dalian Zhixing vs Shanghai Shenhua: prediction and stats
FA CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on September 1, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC)Jinzhou Stadium, Dalian
The Footlab model makes Shanghai Shenhua the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Dalian Zhixing. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dalian Zhixing vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Shanghai Shenhua starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,704 vs 1,550).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dalian Zhixing have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Shanghai Shenhua have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun(away) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Henan Jianye(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(away) | 5-4 | Super League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(home) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Henan Jianye(home) | 4-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(away) | 1-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Dalian Zhixing win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Shanghai Shenhua win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing 1-4 Shanghai Shenhua | Super League |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua 5-3 Dalian Zhixing | Super League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Shanghai Shenhua 2-2 Dalian Zhixing | Super League |
| May 17, 2025 | Dalian Zhixing 0-3 Shanghai Shenhua | Super League |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 Dalian Zhixing | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Dalian Zhixing vs Shanghai Shenhua on Jun 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dalian Zhixing score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Shanghai Shenhua score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalian Zhixing | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dalian Zhixing vs Shanghai Shenhua?
- The Footlab model makes Shanghai Shenhua the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Dalian Zhixing.
- Where and when is Dalian Zhixing vs Shanghai Shenhua played?
- Dalian Zhixing vs Shanghai Shenhua is played on September 1, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC) at Jinzhou Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.