Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG: prediction and stats
FA CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on September 1, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC)Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Ji'nan
The Footlab model makes SHANGHAI SIPG the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Shandong Luneng. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Shandong Luneng (1,666) and SHANGHAI SIPG (1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shandong Luneng have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; SHANGHAI SIPG have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Qingdao Youth Island(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tianjin Teda(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Henan Jianye(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns(away) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(away) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Shandong Luneng win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 SHANGHAI SIPG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG 0-1 Shandong Luneng | Super League |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Shandong Luneng 1-1 SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Shandong Luneng 3-1 SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League |
| May 17, 2025 | SHANGHAI SIPG 1-1 Shandong Luneng | Super League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Shandong Luneng 1-3 SHANGHAI SIPG | FA Cup |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Shandong Luneng 0-1 SHANGHAI SIPG | Super League |
Last archived meeting: SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shandong Luneng on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shandong Luneng score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SHANGHAI SIPG score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Luneng | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| SHANGHAI SIPG | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
- The Footlab model makes SHANGHAI SIPG the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Shandong Luneng.
- Where and when is Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG played?
- Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG is played on September 1, 2026 at 11:35 AM (UTC) at Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.