Danubio vs Juventud: result 4-3 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 11Kick-off on May 5, 2019 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Danubio vs Juventud?
Danubio won 4-3 on May 5, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 11′D. GarcíaJuventud
- 20′J. ZeballosJuventud
- 31′Ernesto Goñi AmeijendaDanubio
- 39′F. ViñasJuventud
- 45′Carlos Javier GrossmüllerDanubio
- 66′S. PaivaDanubio
- 87′S. PaivaDanubio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Juventud have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2019 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Penarol(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 31, 2019 | Progreso(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Fenix(away) | 1-5 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2019 | Boston River(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 14, 2019 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Wanderers(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 24, 2019 | Cerro Largo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Danubio win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Juventud win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2017 | Juventud 2-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 18, 2017 | Danubio 1-0 Juventud | Primera División |
| Nov 13, 2016 | Danubio 1-1 Juventud | Primera División |
| Feb 7, 2016 | Danubio 2-1 Juventud | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 16, 2015 | Juventud 0-2 Danubio | Primera División |
| Apr 26, 2015 | Juventud 0-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Juventud score 1.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Juventud | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Danubio sit 11th in Primera División (18 points from 15 matches) and Juventud sit 14th (15 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 8 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Juventud | 62 | 25 | 13 | 24 | 72 | 74 | 88 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Juventud | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 35 | 27 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy