Danubio vs Penarol: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónIntermediate Round - 5Kick-off on July 8, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Danubio vs Penarol?
Danubio won 1-0 on July 8, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 61′G. MayDanubio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Penarol have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2023 | Boston River(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jun 29, 2023 | Emelec(away) | 1-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jun 23, 2023 | La Luz(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 16, 2023 | Atletico Torque(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 8, 2023 | Huracan(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2023 | Atletico Torque(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 30, 2023 | America Mineiro(home) | 1-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Wanderers(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 18, 2023 | CA River Plate(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Jun 6, 2023 | Defensa Y Justicia(home) | 0-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Danubio win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2023 | Penarol 2-0 Danubio | Primera División |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Penarol 1-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Danubio 0-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| Jan 31, 2021 | Danubio 0-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Penarol 1-1 Danubio | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2019 | Danubio 0-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Penarol | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Danubio sit 11th in Primera División (18 points from 15 matches) and Penarol sit 4th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy