Danubio vs Penarol: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 10Kick-off on April 5, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Danubio vs Penarol?
Penarol won 0-1 on April 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 27′H. VillalbaPenarol
Official lineup for Danubio vs Penarol
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Danubio
- 30S. Fernández
- 6L. Sosa
- 13H. Novick
- 14J. Fernández
- 16M. Peralta
- 19S. Romero
- 28E. Femia
- 4M. Risso
- 8R. Rabino
- 21F. González
- 12M. Goicoechea
Penarol
- 8H. Villalba
- 9F. Avenatti
- 5I. Sosa
- 29E. Remedi
- 32L. Umpiérrez
- 50D. García
- 4J. Rodríguez
- 18C. Mayada
- 23J. Méndez
- 34N. Herrera
- 12G. de Amores
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 1 win, 12 draws and 2 defeats; Penarol have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Atletico Torque(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Cerro(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Wanderers(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Miramar(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | Velez Sarsfield(away) | 1-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Cerro Largo(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Juventud(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Danubio wins, 1 draw, 3 Penarol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2024 | Danubio 0-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Penarol 2-0 Danubio | Primera División |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Danubio 2-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Danubio 1-0 Penarol | Primera División |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Penarol 2-0 Danubio | Primera División |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Penarol 1-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Penarol | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Danubio sit 13th in Primera División (7 points from 10 matches) and Penarol sit 3rd (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penarol | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 20 |
| 13 | Danubio | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Danubio vs Penarol?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy