Danubio vs Penarol: result 0-2 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraRegular Season - 5Kick-off on March 1, 2014 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Danubio vs Penarol?
Penarol won 0-2 on March 1, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 45′Antonio Pacheco D'AgostiPenarol (pen.)
- 69′M. ZalayetaPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Penarol have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2014 | Club Nacional(away) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 15, 2014 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 9, 2014 | Cerro(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 4, 2014 | Cerro Largo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Dec 15, 2013 | SUD America(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2014 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 7, 2014 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 2, 2014 | CA River Plate(away) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Dec 14, 2013 | Cerro Largo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Dec 7, 2013 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Danubio win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2013 | Penarol 1-2 Danubio | Primera División |
| Mar 23, 2013 | Penarol 0-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Danubio 0-0 Penarol | Primera División |
| Apr 1, 2012 | Danubio 3-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 1.6 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Penarol | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Danubio sit 11th in Primera División - Clausura (43 points from 37 matches) and Penarol sit 2nd (78 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 11 | Danubio | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 41 | 43 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy