Penarol vs Danubio: result 1-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 21, 2013 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Danubio?
Danubio won 1-2 on September 21, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 49′Jorge Marcelo Rodríguez NúñezPenarol
- 80′F. FormilianoDanubio
- 84′H. SequeiraDanubio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Danubio have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2013 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Rentistas(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 25, 2013 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 17, 2013 | CA River Plate(home) | 2-4 | Primera División |
| Jun 1, 2013 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 4-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2013 | Club Nacional(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 25, 2013 | Cerro(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2013 | Cerro Largo(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 1, 2013 | Cerro Largo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Penarol win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Danubio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2013 | Penarol 0-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Danubio 0-0 Penarol | Primera División |
| Apr 1, 2012 | Danubio 3-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Danubio | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Danubio sit 11th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy