Danubio vs Progreso: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 7Kick-off on April 6, 2024 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Danubio vs Progreso?
Danubio and Progreso drew 1-1 on April 6, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 11′R. BrazionisDanubio
- 90′J. PoisoProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Progreso have 11, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | Rayo Zuliano(away) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Wanderers(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 14, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2024 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 27, 2024 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Club Nacional(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 4-3 | Primera División |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Cerro(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Danubio win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Progreso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2022 | Progreso 2-2 Danubio | Copa Uruguay |
| Feb 15, 2021 | Danubio 0-1 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 22, 2020 | Progreso 1-0 Danubio | Primera División |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Progreso 2-1 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 11, 2019 | Progreso 2-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 31, 2019 | Danubio 3-2 Progreso | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 2.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Progreso | 2.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Danubio sit 11th in Primera División (18 points from 15 matches) and Progreso sit 15th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy