Danubio vs Progreso: result 1-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónTorneo Intermedio - 3Kick-off on May 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Danubio vs Progreso?
Progreso won 1-2 on May 30, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 26′J. PereyraDanubio
- 81′G. SilvaProgreso
- 90′G. SilvaProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Progreso have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| May 9, 2026 | Albion FC(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| May 2, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Club Nacional(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Atletico Torque(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| May 16, 2026 | Juventud(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| May 10, 2026 | Atletico Torque(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| May 3, 2026 | Cerro Largo(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Danubio win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Progreso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Danubio 2-2 Progreso | Primera División |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Progreso 1-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 31, 2025 | Progreso 0-1 Danubio | Primera División |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Danubio 1-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Progreso 0-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Danubio 1-1 Progreso | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Progreso | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Danubio sit 11th in Primera División (18 points from 15 matches) and Progreso sit 15th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy