Danubio vs Progreso: result 3-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 7Kick-off on March 31, 2019 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Danubio vs Progreso?
Danubio won 3-2 on March 31, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 36′F. RodríguezDanubio
- 55′Carlos Javier GrossmüllerDanubio (pen.)
- 67′P. SilesProgreso (o.g.)
- 82′T. ChacónDanubio
- 86′Julián Enrique Lalinde RubioProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Progreso have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | Fenix(away) | 1-5 | Primera División |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Club Nacional(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 10, 2019 | CA River Plate(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 3, 2019 | Cerro(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 23, 2019 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2019 | Boston River(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 17, 2019 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Wanderers(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 2, 2019 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 5-3 | Primera División |
| Feb 24, 2019 | Juventud(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Danubio win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Progreso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2018 | Danubio 2-2 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 4, 2018 | Progreso 1-1 Danubio | Primera División |
| Mar 2, 2013 | Progreso 1-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Danubio 1-4 Progreso | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 1.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Progreso | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Danubio sit 11th in Primera División (18 points from 15 matches) and Progreso sit 15th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy