Darmstadt 98 II vs Vfb Marburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 15Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage am Hinkelstein, Alsbach-Hähnlein
The Footlab model makes Darmstadt 98 II the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Vfb Marburg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Darmstadt 98 II vs Vfb Marburg?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Darmstadt 98 II (1,846) and Vfb Marburg (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Darmstadt 98 II have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Vfb Marburg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gießen(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Baunatal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hadamar(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kassel 2(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Darmstadt 98 II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Vfb Marburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II 4-0 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Vfb Marburg 2-1 Darmstadt 98 II | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Darmstadt 98 II 3-1 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Vfb Marburg 1-0 Darmstadt 98 II | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Darmstadt 98 II vs Vfb Marburg on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Darmstadt 98 II score 2.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Vfb Marburg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt 98 II | 2.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Vfb Marburg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Darmstadt 98 II sit 3rd in Oberliga - Hessen (11 points from 5 matches) and Vfb Marburg sit 5th (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Darmstadt 98 II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Vfb Marburg | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Darmstadt 98 II vs Vfb Marburg?
- The Footlab model makes Darmstadt 98 II the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Vfb Marburg.
- Where and when is Darmstadt 98 II vs Vfb Marburg played?
- Darmstadt 98 II vs Vfb Marburg is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage am Hinkelstein, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.