Kassel vs Hummetroth: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 15Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Spielplatz Jahnstraße KS-Unterneustadt, Kassel
The Footlab model makes Kassel the favourite at 53%, against 19% for a draw and 28% for Hummetroth. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kassel vs Hummetroth?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Kassel (1,745) and Hummetroth (1,687).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kassel have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Hummetroth have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Friedberg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Baunatal(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(away) | 0-6 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Friedberg(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kassel win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hummetroth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Hummetroth 2-4 Kassel | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Kassel 2-3 Hummetroth | Oberliga - Hessen |
How many goals should we expect?
Kassel score 2.5 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hummetroth score 1.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kassel | 2.5 | 2.8 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Hummetroth | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kassel sit 13th in Oberliga - Hessen (4 points from 5 matches) and Hummetroth sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kassel | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 4 |
| 17 | Hummetroth | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kassel vs Hummetroth?
- The Footlab model makes Kassel the favourite at 53%, against 19% for a draw and 28% for Hummetroth.
- Where and when is Kassel vs Hummetroth played?
- Kassel vs Hummetroth is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Spielplatz Jahnstraße KS-Unterneustadt, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026FC GießenvsRot-Weiß Walldorf
- Oct 24, 2026Eintracht StadtallendorfvsBayern Alzenau
- Oct 24, 2026BaunatalvsFernwald
- Oct 24, 2026Darmstadt 98 IIvsVfb Marburg
- Oct 24, 2026FriedbergvsKassel 2
- Oct 24, 2026Unter-Flockenbachvs1960 Hanau
- Oct 24, 2026HadamarvsEddersheim
- Oct 25, 2026TuBa PohlheimvsHünfelder SV