De Graafschap vs Excelsior: result 4-1 and analysis
EredivisieRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 27, 2018 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vijverberg, Doetinchem
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What was the result of De Graafschap vs Excelsior?
De Graafschap won 4-1 on October 27, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 25′D. van MieghemDe Graafschap
- 38′E. ÓmarssonExcelsior
- 50′Furdjel NarsinghDe Graafschap
- 55′Youssef El JebliDe Graafschap
- 70′Fabian SerrarensDe Graafschap
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, De Graafschap have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Excelsior have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2018 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Heerenveen(home) | 0-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Willem II(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 25, 2018 | Vvsb(away) | 5-5 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 21, 2018 | Heracles(away) | 0-4 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2018 | Vitesse(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 6, 2018 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 29, 2018 | VVV Venlo(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 26, 2018 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 0-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 25, 2018 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 2-3 | KNVB Beker |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 De Graafschap win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Excelsior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2016 | De Graafschap 2-0 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Excelsior 3-0 De Graafschap | Eredivisie |
| May 2, 2012 | De Graafschap 2-2 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Aug 20, 2011 | Excelsior 1-1 De Graafschap | Eredivisie |
| Apr 9, 2011 | Excelsior 0-0 De Graafschap | Eredivisie |
| Aug 7, 2010 | De Graafschap 3-0 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: De Graafschap vs Excelsior on Jan 16, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
De Graafschap score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior score 1.3 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Graafschap | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Excelsior | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy