Match

De Treffers vs Hoek: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Zuid, Groesbeek

De TreffersHoek

The Footlab model makes De Treffers the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Hoek. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win De Treffers vs Hoek?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate De Treffers (2,015) and Hoek (1,945).

De Treffers win54 %
Draw22 %
Hoek win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, De Treffers have 10 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats; Hoek have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

De Treffers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026ROHDA Raalte(away)3-0Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026GVVV Veenendaal(home)5-1Tweede Divisie
Aug 8, 2026Noordwijk(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 4, 2026FC Eindhoven(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Hoek(home)2-2Tweede Divisie
Hoek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Katwijk(away)1-1Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026Koninklijke HFC(home)3-1Tweede Divisie
Jul 15, 2026NAC Breda(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026De Treffers(away)2-2Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026Rijnsburgse Boys(home)2-0Tweede Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 De Treffers win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hoek win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026De Treffers 2-2 HoekTweede Divisie
Dec 13, 2025Hoek 2-1 De TreffersTweede Divisie

Last archived meeting: De Treffers vs Hoek on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

De Treffers score 2.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hoek score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
De Treffers2.61.0510/1510/15
Hoek1.91.4311/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

De Treffers sit 2nd in Tweede Divisie (6 points from 2 matches) and Hoek sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2De Treffers2200816
6Hoek2110424

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for De Treffers vs Hoek?
The Footlab model makes De Treffers the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Hoek.
Where and when is De Treffers vs Hoek played?
De Treffers vs Hoek is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Zuid, in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: De Treffers and Hoek

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