Match

Hoek vs AFC Amsterdam: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Denoek, Hoek

HoekAFC Amsterdam

The Footlab AI model makes Hoek the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for AFC Amsterdam. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hoek wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,593 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hoek vs AFC Amsterdam?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Hoek (1,892) and AFC Amsterdam (1,881).

40%25%35%
Hoek winDrawAFC Amsterdam win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Hoek vs AFC Amsterdam

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Hoek

4-4-2
  1. 10N. Aelterman
  2. 7K. Hebbelinck
  1. 8S. Brebels
  2. 14R. Van Hauter
  3. 24G. Siereveld
  4. 18H. Bouihrouchane
  1. 2R. De Poorter
  2. 5Y. de Nooijer
  3. 21G. Martens
  4. 4L. Ketels
  1. 1M. Standaert

AFC Amsterdam

5-3-2
  1. 9F. van der Linden
  2. 27D. Gouda
  1. 11R. Fonseca
  2. 13T. Hovenkamp
  3. 14M. Klopper
  1. 40L. van der Graaf
  2. 20M. Elstak
  3. 55T. Letschert
  4. 5C. Claver
  5. 24I. Lee
  1. 1G. van Zetten

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 06:10 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoek have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; AFC Amsterdam have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hoek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Kozakken Boys(home)0-0Tweede Divisie
Oct 10, 2026AFC Amsterdam(away)0-2Tweede Divisie
Oct 3, 2026De Treffers(home)3-1Tweede Divisie
Sep 26, 2026Sparta Rotterdam II(away)0-3Tweede Divisie
Sep 19, 2026Almere City II(home)2-2Tweede Divisie
AFC Amsterdam
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Barendrecht(away)1-4Tweede Divisie
Oct 10, 2026Hoek(home)2-0Tweede Divisie
Oct 3, 2026Spakenburg(away)1-2Tweede Divisie
Sep 26, 2026Katwijk(home)0-1Tweede Divisie
Sep 22, 2026Groene Ster(away)6-1KNVB Beker

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Hoek win, 1 draw, 1 AFC Amsterdam win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026AFC Amsterdam 2-0 HoekTweede Divisie
Apr 18, 2026AFC Amsterdam 1-5 HoekTweede Divisie
Nov 15, 2025Hoek 2-2 AFC AmsterdamTweede Divisie

Last archived meeting: AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek on Oct 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hoek score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Amsterdam score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hoek1.51.539/159/15
AFC Amsterdam1.91.7310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hoek sit 15th in Tweede Divisie (10 points from 10 matches) and AFC Amsterdam sit 9th (13 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9AFC Amsterdam9414141413
15Hoek10244111510

A question about Hoek vs AFC Amsterdam?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hoek vs AFC Amsterdam?
The Footlab AI model makes Hoek the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for AFC Amsterdam.
Where and when is Hoek vs AFC Amsterdam played?
Hoek vs AFC Amsterdam is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Denoek, in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hoek and AFC Amsterdam

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