Where and when is Hoek vs De Treffers played?

Hoek vs De Treffers is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Denoek, in the Tweede Divisie.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hoek vs De Treffers: prediction and stats

Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Denoek, Hoek

Hoek

De Treffers

The Footlab model makes De Treffers the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Hoek. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hoek vs De Treffers?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Hoek (1,959) and De Treffers (2,028).

Hoek win34 %

Draw25 %

De Treffers win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoek have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; De Treffers have 10, 5 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hoek
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Katwijk(away)	1-1	Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026	Koninklijke HFC(home)	3-1	Tweede Divisie
Jul 15, 2026	NAC Breda(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	De Treffers(away)	2-2	Tweede Divisie
May 16, 2026	Rijnsburgse Boys(home)	2-0	Tweede Divisie

De Treffers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	ROHDA Raalte(away)	3-0	Tweede Divisie
Aug 15, 2026	GVVV Veenendaal(home)	5-1	Tweede Divisie
Aug 8, 2026	Noordwijk(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 4, 2026	FC Eindhoven(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Hoek(home)	2-2	Tweede Divisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hoek win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 De Treffers win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	De Treffers 2-2 Hoek	Tweede Divisie
Dec 13, 2025	Hoek 2-1 De Treffers	Tweede Divisie

Last archived meeting: De Treffers vs Hoek on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hoek score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; De Treffers score 2.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hoek	1.9	1.4	3	11/15	10/15
De Treffers	2.6	1.0	5	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hoek sit 6th in Tweede Divisie (4 points from 2 matches) and De Treffers sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	8	1	6
6	Hoek	2	1	1	0	4	2	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hoek vs De Treffers?: The Footlab model makes De Treffers the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Hoek.
Where and when is Hoek vs De Treffers played?: Hoek vs De Treffers is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Denoek, in the Tweede Divisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.