Debrecen II vs Tarpa: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 25Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen
The Footlab model makes Debrecen II the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Tarpa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Debrecen II vs Tarpa?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Debrecen II (1,519) and Tarpa (1,441).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Debrecen II have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Tarpa have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Diósgyőr II(away) | 0-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 15, 2026 | DEAC(away) | 2-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Füzesabony(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hajdúnánás(home) | 5-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Cigand SE(away) | 0-5 | NB III - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Emodi(away) | 1-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ózd Sajóvölgye(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | DEAC(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Northeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eger(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Füzesabony(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Debrecen II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Tarpa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Debrecen II 1-1 Tarpa | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Tarpa 1-1 Debrecen II | NB III - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Debrecen II score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tarpa score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debrecen II | 2.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Tarpa | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Debrecen II sit 10th in NB III - Northeast (4 points from 4 matches) and Tarpa sit 15th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Debrecen II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Debrecen II vs Tarpa?
- The Footlab model makes Debrecen II the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Tarpa.
- Where and when is Debrecen II vs Tarpa played?
- Debrecen II vs Tarpa is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nagyerdei Stadion, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.