Nyiregyhaza vs Paks: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:45 PM (UTC)Balmazújvárosi Városi Sportpálya, Balmazújváros
The Footlab model makes Paks the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Nyiregyhaza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nyiregyhaza vs Paks?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Nyiregyhaza (1,803) and Paks (1,890).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nyiregyhaza have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Paks have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | MTK Budapest(away) | 1-2 | NB I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(home) | 2-1 | NB I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(away) | 0-1 | NB I |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC(away) | 0-4 | NB I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Ujpest(home) | 2-1 | NB I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ujpest(home) | 2-0 | NB I |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-3 | NB I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Budapest Honved(home) | 2-2 | NB I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(away) | 2-5 | NB I |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nyiregyhaza win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Paks win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza 2-0 Paks | NB I |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Paks 2-1 Nyiregyhaza | NB I |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Nyiregyhaza 1-1 Paks | NB I |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Paks 2-0 Nyiregyhaza | NB I |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Nyiregyhaza 4-2 Paks | NB I |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Paks 2-1 Nyiregyhaza | NB I |
How many goals should we expect?
Nyiregyhaza score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Paks score 2.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyiregyhaza | 1.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Paks | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nyiregyhaza sit 6th in NB I (6 points from 5 matches) and Paks sit 5th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Paks | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 7 |
| 6 | Nyiregyhaza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nyiregyhaza vs Paks?
- The Footlab model makes Paks the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Nyiregyhaza.
- Where and when is Nyiregyhaza vs Paks played?
- Nyiregyhaza vs Paks is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:45 PM (UTC) at Balmazújvárosi Városi Sportpálya, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.