Degerfors IF vs Orgryte IS: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stora Valla, Degerfors
The Footlab model makes Degerfors IF the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Orgryte IS. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Degerfors IF vs Orgryte IS?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Degerfors IF (1,723) and Orgryte IS (1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Degerfors IF have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Orgryte IS have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | IFK Östersund(away) | 5-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Malmo FF(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halmstad(home) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 1-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(home) | 3-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(away) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Degerfors IF win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Orgryte IS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Orgryte IS 1-1 Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Orgryte IS 1-3 Degerfors IF | Superettan |
| May 18, 2024 | Degerfors IF 4-1 Orgryte IS | Superettan |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Degerfors IF 5-0 Orgryte IS | Svenska Cupen |
| Oct 21, 2020 | Degerfors IF 2-0 Orgryte IS | Superettan |
| Jul 24, 2020 | Orgryte IS 1-1 Degerfors IF | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: Orgryte IS vs Degerfors IF on Apr 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Degerfors IF score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Orgryte IS score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Degerfors IF | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Orgryte IS | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Degerfors IF sit 14th in Allsvenskan (16 points from 18 matches) and Orgryte IS sit 15th (14 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | 16 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 41 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Degerfors IF vs Orgryte IS?
- The Footlab model makes Degerfors IF the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Orgryte IS.
- Where and when is Degerfors IF vs Orgryte IS played?
- Degerfors IF vs Orgryte IS is played on November 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stora Valla, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.