IF Elfsborg vs Gais: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Borås Arena, Borås
The Footlab model makes IF Elfsborg the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Gais. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IF Elfsborg vs Gais?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate IF Elfsborg (1,834) and Gais (1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IF Elfsborg have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Gais have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Västra Frölunda(away) | 4-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Malmo FF(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hammarby FF(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Malmo FF(home) | 0-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Halmstad(away) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(away) | 0-6 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Halmstad(home) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 IF Elfsborg win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Gais win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Gais 1-0 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Gais 2-0 IF Elfsborg | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Gais 2-0 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| May 5, 2025 | IF Elfsborg 2-0 Gais | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 20, 2025 | IF Elfsborg 1-2 Gais | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2024 | IF Elfsborg 2-1 Gais | Allsvenskan |
How many goals should we expect?
IF Elfsborg score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gais score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Elfsborg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Gais | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IF Elfsborg sit 5th in Allsvenskan (28 points from 18 matches) and Gais sit 10th (23 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 28 |
| 10 | Gais | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IF Elfsborg vs Gais?
- The Footlab model makes IF Elfsborg the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Gais.
- Where and when is IF Elfsborg vs Gais played?
- IF Elfsborg vs Gais is played on November 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Borås Arena, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.