IFK Goteborg vs Sirius: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
The Footlab model makes Sirius the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for IFK Goteborg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IFK Goteborg vs Sirius?
Sirius starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,940 vs 1,804).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IFK Goteborg have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sirius have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Degerfors IF(away) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Gent(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kalmar FF(home) | 3-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Gent(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 3-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(home) | 2-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Halmstad(away) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 4-1 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 IFK Goteborg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sirius win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sirius 4-1 IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Sirius 1-0 IFK Goteborg | Svenska Cupen |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Sirius 0-1 IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 6, 2025 | IFK Goteborg 3-1 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 17, 2024 | IFK Goteborg 1-1 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| May 16, 2024 | Sirius 2-2 IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Sirius vs IFK Goteborg on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IFK Goteborg score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sirius score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Goteborg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Sirius | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IFK Goteborg sit 12th in Allsvenskan (20 points from 18 matches) and Sirius sit 1st (42 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 26 | 42 |
| 12 | IFK Goteborg | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IFK Goteborg vs Sirius?
- The Footlab model makes Sirius the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for IFK Goteborg.
- Where and when is IFK Goteborg vs Sirius played?
- IFK Goteborg vs Sirius is played on November 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gamla Ullevi, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.