Denbigh Town vs Porthmadog: result 2-3 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 4Kick-off on August 21, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Central Park, Denbigh, Denbighshire
Full time
What was the result of Denbigh Town vs Porthmadog?
Porthmadog won 2-3 on August 21, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 31′D. Summers-JonesPorthmadog (pen.)
- 55′A. VaughanDenbigh Town
- 69′D. ThomasPorthmadog
- 72′598354Denbigh Town
- 77′O. EllisPorthmadog
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Denbigh Town win at 47%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Denbigh Town have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Porthmadog have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Caersws(away) | 0-6 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rhyl(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Rhyl(home) | 1-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Port Talbot Town(home) | 3-2 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Denbigh Town wins, 1 draw, 1 Porthmadog win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Porthmadog 2-2 Denbigh Town | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Porthmadog 1-4 Denbigh Town | Welsh Cup |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Denbigh Town 3-1 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Porthmadog 2-1 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Porthmadog vs Denbigh Town on Sep 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Denbigh Town score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Porthmadog score 1.3 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denbigh Town | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Porthmadog | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Denbigh Town sit 12th in FAW Championship (14 points from 13 matches) and Porthmadog sit 3rd (27 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Porthmadog | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 27 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 28 | 14 |
A question about Denbigh Town vs Porthmadog?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy