Mold Alexandra vs Porthmadog: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Alyn Park, Mold, Flintshire
The Footlab AI model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Porthmadog. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mold Alexandra wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,445 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mold Alexandra vs Porthmadog?
Mold Alexandra starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,659 vs 1,500).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mold Alexandra vs Porthmadog
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mold Alexandra
Not enough data to predict the Mold Alexandra lineup.
Porthmadog
4-3-3- CCai Llywelyn Jones
- SS. Cavanagh
- II. Price
- DDaniel Paul Brookwell
- CC. Evans
- GGruffydd Ellis
- JJosh Banks
- MMorgan Rhys Wyn Owen
- NNathan Williams
- II. Havelock
- AA. Ward-Jones
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mold Alexandra have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Porthmadog have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rhyl(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Mold Alexandra wins, 1 draw, 1 Porthmadog win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | Porthmadog 1-2 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Mold Alexandra 5-1 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Mold Alexandra 2-2 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Porthmadog 0-1 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Porthmadog 3-4 Mold Alexandra | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Porthmadog 1-0 Mold Alexandra | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Porthmadog vs Mold Alexandra on Jan 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Mold Alexandra score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Porthmadog score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mold Alexandra | 2.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Porthmadog | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mold Alexandra sit 3rd in FAW Championship (24 points from 12 matches) and Porthmadog sit 4th (24 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mold Alexandra | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 15 | 24 |
| 4 | Porthmadog | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 24 |
A question about Mold Alexandra vs Porthmadog?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mold Alexandra vs Porthmadog?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Porthmadog.
- Where and when is Mold Alexandra vs Porthmadog played?
- Mold Alexandra vs Porthmadog is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Alyn Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.