Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 12Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Central Park, Denbigh, Denbighshire
The Footlab AI model makes Denbigh Town the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Gresford Athletic. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic?
On Elo ratings, Denbigh Town has 1,586 points and Gresford Athletic 1,531.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Denbigh Town
Not enough data to predict the Denbigh Town lineup.
Gresford Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Gresford Athletic lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Denbigh Town have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Gresford Athletic have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Newtown AFC(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Rhyl(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rhyl(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(home) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Denbigh Town wins, 1 draw, 2 Gresford Athletic wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | Denbigh Town 2-3 Gresford Athletic | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Gresford Athletic 0-5 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Gresford Athletic 3-3 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Denbigh Town 5-1 Gresford Athletic | FAW Championship |
| Mar 19, 2024 | Denbigh Town 2-5 Gresford Athletic | FAW Championship |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Gresford Athletic 1-2 Denbigh Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic on Jan 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Denbigh Town score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gresford Athletic score 0.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denbigh Town | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Gresford Athletic | 0.6 | 2.5 | 1 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Denbigh Town sit 13th in FAW Championship (7 points from 10 matches) and Gresford Athletic sit 15th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Denbigh Town | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 7 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 7 |
A question about Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Denbigh Town the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Gresford Athletic.
- Where and when is Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic played?
- Denbigh Town vs Gresford Athletic is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Central Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.