Dender vs Francs Borains: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)DENDER Football Complex, Denderleeuw
The Footlab model makes Dender the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Francs Borains. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dender vs Francs Borains?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Dender (1,779) and Francs Borains (1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dender have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Francs Borains have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beerschot VA(home) | 2-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Liège(away) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Feignies-Aulnoye(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Tubize(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Reims(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Dender win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Francs Borains win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2024 | Francs Borains 0-3 Dender | Challenger Pro League |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Dender 2-0 Francs Borains | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Dender 3-1 Francs Borains | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Francs Borains 1-1 Dender | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Francs Borains vs Dender on Apr 19, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Dender score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Francs Borains score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dender | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Francs Borains | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dender sit 7th in Challenger Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and Francs Borains sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dender | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Francs Borains | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dender vs Francs Borains?
- The Footlab model makes Dender the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Francs Borains.
- Where and when is Dender vs Francs Borains played?
- Dender vs Francs Borains is played on March 13, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at DENDER Football Complex, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.