Denizli İYG vs Bursa Yıldırımspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Başkarcı Şehit Sami Er Stadı, Denizli
The Footlab model makes Denizli İYG the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Bursa Yıldırımspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Denizli İYG vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Denizli İYG (1,566) and Bursa Yıldırımspor (1,565).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Denizli İYG have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Bursa Yıldırımspor have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Anadolu Üniversitesi(home) | 3-3 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Alanya 1221 FK(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Kütahyaspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Karsiyaka(home) | 0-5 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(home) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik(away) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Galata(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Beykoz İshaklıspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Denizli İYG score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bursa Yıldırımspor score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denizli İYG | 1.1 | 1.0 | 8 | 2/15 | 5/15 |
| Bursa Yıldırımspor | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Denizli İYG vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?
- The Footlab model makes Denizli İYG the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Bursa Yıldırımspor.
- Where and when is Denizli İYG vs Bursa Yıldırımspor played?
- Denizli İYG vs Bursa Yıldırımspor is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Başkarcı Şehit Sami Er Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.