Where and when is Ayvalikgucu vs Kepezspor played?

Ayvalikgucu vs Kepezspor is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ayvalikgucu vs Kepezspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, Ayvalık

Ayvalikgucu

Kepezspor

The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Kepezspor. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ayvalikgucu vs Kepezspor?

Ayvalikgucu starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,708 vs 1,534).

Ayvalikgucu win61 %

Draw23 %

Kepezspor win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayvalikgucu have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kepezspor have 1, 4 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ayvalikgucu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(home)	1-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026	Eskişehirspor(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026	Eskişehirspor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 28, 2026	Karsiyaka(away)	2-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Karsiyaka(home)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs

Kepezspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Batman Petrolspor(away)	0-6	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Altınordu(home)	2-4	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)	0-1	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Ankaragücü(home)	2-3	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Elazığspor(away)	1-3	2. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ayvalikgucu win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kepezspor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 21, 2024	Kepezspor 2-3 Ayvalikgucu	3. Lig - Group 1
Dec 10, 2023	Ayvalikgucu 0-1 Kepezspor	3. Lig - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Kepezspor vs Ayvalikgucu on Apr 21, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Ayvalikgucu score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kepezspor score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ayvalikgucu	1.4	0.8	6	5/15	5/15
Kepezspor	1.0	2.1	3	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ayvalikgucu vs Kepezspor?: The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Kepezspor.
Where and when is Ayvalikgucu vs Kepezspor played?: Ayvalikgucu vs Kepezspor is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.