Orihuela vs La Nucía: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Los Arcos, Orihuela
The Footlab AI model makes Orihuela the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for La Nucía. The most likely score is 1-1. If Orihuela wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,921 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orihuela vs La Nucía?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Orihuela (1,855) and La Nucía (1,919).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Orihuela vs La Nucía
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Orihuela
5-4-1- 23Javi Solsona
- 17Gonzalo Miranda
- 11Joan Monterde
- 6F. Rivera
- 8José Lara
- 20S. Marc
- 21L. Booker
- 15Carlos Sánchez
- 24R. Garcia
- 3N. Vila
- 1I. Buigues
La Nucía
Not enough data to predict the La Nucía lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orihuela have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; La Nucía have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Orihuela wins, 2 draws, 1 La Nucía win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2021 | Orihuela 1-2 La Nucía | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2020 | La Nucía 0-0 Orihuela | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 30, 2019 | Orihuela 0-0 La Nucía | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Orihuela score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; La Nucía score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orihuela | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| La Nucía | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orihuela sit 9th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (10 points from 7 matches) and La Nucía sit 4th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | La Nucía | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 9 | Orihuela | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Orihuela vs La Nucía?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orihuela vs La Nucía?
- The Footlab AI model makes Orihuela the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for La Nucía.
- Where and when is Orihuela vs La Nucía played?
- Orihuela vs La Nucía is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Los Arcos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.