Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Abanca-Riazor, La Coruña
The Footlab model makes Deportivo La Coruna the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Valencia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Deportivo La Coruna (2,056) and Valencia (2,099).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo La Coruna have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Valencia have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Celta Vigo(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Derby(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Deportivo La Coruna win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Valencia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2018 | Valencia 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| Jan 13, 2018 | Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 Valencia | La Liga |
| Apr 2, 2017 | Valencia 3-0 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| Oct 31, 2016 | Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Valencia | La Liga |
| Jan 24, 2016 | Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Valencia | La Liga |
| Aug 30, 2015 | Valencia 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Valencia vs Deportivo La Coruna on May 20, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo La Coruna score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Valencia score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Valencia | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo La Coruna sit 9th in La Liga (1 points from 1 matches) and Valencia sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Valencia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo La Coruna the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Valencia.
- Where and when is Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia played?
- Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Abanca-Riazor, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.