Deportivo La Coruna vs Barcelona: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Abanca-Riazor, La Coruña
The Footlab model makes Barcelona the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Deportivo La Coruna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo La Coruna vs Barcelona?
Barcelona is a heavy favourite: 2,393 Elo points against 2,060, a 333-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo La Coruna have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Barcelona have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Elche(away) | 5-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Al Ahly(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Basel 1893(away) | 5-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Deportivo La Coruna win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Barcelona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2018 | Deportivo La Coruna 2-4 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Dec 17, 2017 | Barcelona 4-0 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| Mar 12, 2017 | Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Barcelona 4-0 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| Apr 20, 2016 | Deportivo La Coruna 0-8 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Dec 12, 2015 | Barcelona 2-2 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo La Coruna vs Barcelona on Apr 29, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo La Coruna score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Barcelona score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Barcelona | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo La Coruna sit 10th in La Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Barcelona sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Deportivo La Coruna | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo La Coruna vs Barcelona?
- The Footlab model makes Barcelona the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Deportivo La Coruna.
- Where and when is Deportivo La Coruna vs Barcelona played?
- Deportivo La Coruna vs Barcelona is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Abanca-Riazor, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.