Where and when is Deportivo Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi played?

Deportivo Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi is played on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Manuel Moreno, in the Primera B Metropolitana.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Deportivo Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 42Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Manuel Moreno, Parque San Martín, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Deportivo Merlo

Arsenal Sarandi

The Footlab model makes Arsenal Sarandi the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Deportivo Merlo. The most likely score is 0-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportivo Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Arsenal Sarandi starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,747 vs 1,624).

Deportivo Merlo win17 %

Draw27 %

Arsenal Sarandi win56 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Merlo have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Arsenal Sarandi have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportivo Merlo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Ituzaingó(away)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Deportivo Camioneros(away)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026	Sportivo Italiano(home)	0-4	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 2, 2026	San Martín Burzaco(away)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026	Villa San Carlos(home)	1-2	Primera B Metropolitana

Arsenal Sarandi
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Ituzaingó(home)	2-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 22, 2026	Argentino de Merlo(away)	0-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Talleres Remedios(home)	0-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 9, 2026	Deportivo Laferrere(away)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 31, 2026	Brown DE Adrogue(home)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Deportivo Merlo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Arsenal Sarandi win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 21, 2026	Arsenal Sarandi 4-2 Deportivo Merlo	Primera B Metropolitana

Last archived meeting: Arsenal Sarandi vs Deportivo Merlo on Jun 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportivo Merlo score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal Sarandi score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Merlo	0.9	1.7	4	8/15	8/15
Arsenal Sarandi	1.1	0.9	5	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportivo Merlo sit 8th in Primera B Metropolitana (31 points from 20 matches) and Arsenal Sarandi sit 4th (37 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Arsenal Sarandi	32	15	12	5	41	22	57
4	Arsenal Sarandi	20	10	7	3	27	14	37
8	Deportivo Merlo	20	8	7	5	24	24	31
13	Deportivo Merlo	31	9	12	10	33	45	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportivo Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi?: The Footlab model makes Arsenal Sarandi the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Deportivo Merlo.
Where and when is Deportivo Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi played?: Deportivo Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi is played on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Manuel Moreno, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.