Villa San Carlos vs Real Pilar: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 42Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Genancio Sálice, Berisso, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Real Pilar the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Villa San Carlos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villa San Carlos vs Real Pilar?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Villa San Carlos (1,645) and Real Pilar (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa San Carlos have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Real Pilar have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Flandria(home) | 3-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(away) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dock Sud(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Brown DE Adrogue(home) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportivo Armenio(away) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Flandria(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(home) | 2-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Villa San Carlos win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Real Pilar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Real Pilar 1-1 Villa San Carlos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Real Pilar 1-0 Villa San Carlos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| May 3, 2025 | Villa San Carlos 1-2 Real Pilar | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Real Pilar vs Villa San Carlos on Jun 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villa San Carlos score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Real Pilar score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa San Carlos | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Real Pilar | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villa San Carlos sit 21st in Primera B Metropolitana (16 points from 20 matches) and Real Pilar sit 7th (31 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Real Pilar | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 31 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 51 |
| 14 | Villa San Carlos | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 37 | 38 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villa San Carlos vs Real Pilar?
- The Footlab model makes Real Pilar the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Villa San Carlos.
- Where and when is Villa San Carlos vs Real Pilar played?
- Villa San Carlos vs Real Pilar is played on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Genancio Sálice, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026FlandriavsDeportivo Armenio
- Oct 31, 2026Defensores UnidosvsDeportivo Laferrere
- Oct 31, 2026Dock SudvsArgentino de Merlo
- Oct 31, 2026Deportivo CamionerosvsExcursionistas
- Oct 31, 2026ComunicacionesvsTalleres Remedios
- Oct 31, 2026Argentino QuilmesvsBrown DE Adrogue
- Oct 31, 2026Deportivo MerlovsArsenal Sarandi
- Oct 31, 2026San Martín BurzacovsUAI Urquiza