Match

Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 42Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio República de Italia, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Sportivo ItalianoVilla Dalmine

The Footlab model makes Villa Dalmine the favourite at 39%, against 34% for a draw and 27% for Sportivo Italiano. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Sportivo Italiano (1,715) and Villa Dalmine (1,750).

Sportivo Italiano win27 %
Draw34 %
Villa Dalmine win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportivo Italiano have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Villa Dalmine have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportivo Italiano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Defensores Unidos(home)0-2Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 21, 2026Comunicaciones(away)0-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026Dock Sud(home)4-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026Deportivo Merlo(away)4-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026Deportivo Camioneros(home)1-1Primera B Metropolitana
Villa Dalmine
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Talleres Remedios(home)0-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 21, 2026Deportivo Laferrere(away)2-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026Brown DE Adrogue(home)1-0Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026Deportivo Armenio(away)0-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026Flandria(home)2-1Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Sportivo Italiano win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Villa Dalmine win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Villa Dalmine 2-1 Sportivo ItalianoPrimera B Metropolitana
Jul 5, 2025Villa Dalmine 0-1 Sportivo ItalianoPrimera B Metropolitana
Feb 14, 2025Sportivo Italiano 0-0 Villa DalminePrimera B Metropolitana
Oct 5, 2024Sportivo Italiano 0-1 Villa DalminePrimera B Metropolitana
May 18, 2024Villa Dalmine 2-0 Sportivo ItalianoPrimera B Metropolitana

Last archived meeting: Villa Dalmine vs Sportivo Italiano on Jun 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sportivo Italiano score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Villa Dalmine score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sportivo Italiano1.20.865/155/15
Villa Dalmine0.90.584/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportivo Italiano sit 6th in Primera B Metropolitana (33 points from 20 matches) and Villa Dalmine sit 3rd (37 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Villa Dalmine3216115351659
3Villa Dalmine201073241037
6Sportivo Italiano20965211733
6Sportivo Italiano3214108362552

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine?
The Footlab model makes Villa Dalmine the favourite at 39%, against 34% for a draw and 27% for Sportivo Italiano.
Where and when is Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine played?
Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine is played on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio República de Italia, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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