Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno: prediction and stats
Division Profesional - ClausuraClausura - 8Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Roque Battilana, Asunción
The Footlab model makes Cerro Porteno the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Deportivo Recoleta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno?
Cerro Porteno starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,719).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Recoleta have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Cerro Porteno have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sportivo Ameliano(away) | 1-3 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 0-4 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 2 de Mayo(home) | 1-2 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Boca Juniors(away) | 1-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rubio NU(away) | 3-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpia(away) | 1-2 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Palmeiras(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo(home) | 1-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sportivo Ameliano(away) | 0-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Deportivo Recoleta win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Cerro Porteno win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo Recoleta 2-1 Cerro Porteno | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Cerro Porteno 2-0 Deportivo Recoleta | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Cerro Porteno 2-0 Deportivo Recoleta | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Deportivo Recoleta 1-3 Cerro Porteno | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Deportivo Recoleta 1-3 Cerro Porteno | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Cerro Porteno 2-1 Deportivo Recoleta | Division Profesional - Apertura |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Recoleta score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro Porteno score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Recoleta | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Cerro Porteno | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Recoleta sit 8th in Division Profesional - Clausura (7 points from 6 matches) and Cerro Porteno sit 9th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deportivo Recoleta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 7 |
| 9 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno?
- The Footlab model makes Cerro Porteno the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Deportivo Recoleta.
- Where and when is Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno played?
- Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno is played on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Roque Battilana, in the Division Profesional - Clausura.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.