Rubio NU vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo: prediction and stats
Division Profesional - ClausuraClausura - 8Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Arboleda, Asunción
The Footlab model makes Rubio NU the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Club Sp. San Lorenzo. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rubio NU vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Rubio NU (1,647) and Club Sp. San Lorenzo (1,573).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rubio NU have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Club Sp. San Lorenzo have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | General Caballero(away) | 2-2 | Copa Paraguay |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sportivo Trinidense(home) | 0-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Club Guarani(away) | 3-2 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Deportivo Recoleta(home) | 1-3 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Olimpia(away) | 0-5 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Libertad Asuncion(away) | 0-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cerro Porteno(away) | 0-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 29 de Setiembre(away) | 1-1 | Copa Paraguay |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportivo Luqueno(home) | 0-2 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Sportivo Trinidense(away) | 0-3 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Rubio NU win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0-1 Rubio NU | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Rubio NU 2-0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Rubio NU 2-1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo | Division Intermedia |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0-1 Rubio NU | Division Intermedia |
| Sep 2, 2024 | Rubio NU 0-1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo | Division Intermedia |
| May 28, 2024 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo 3-2 Rubio NU | Division Intermedia |
Last archived meeting: Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Rubio NU on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rubio NU score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Club Sp. San Lorenzo score 0.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubio NU | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rubio NU sit 11th in Division Profesional - Clausura (5 points from 6 matches) and Club Sp. San Lorenzo sit 12th (1 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rubio NU | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 5 |
| 12 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rubio NU vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
- The Footlab model makes Rubio NU the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Club Sp. San Lorenzo.
- Where and when is Rubio NU vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo played?
- Rubio NU vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo is played on September 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Arboleda, in the Division Profesional - Clausura.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.