Deportivo Santani vs Deportivo Recoleta: prediction and stats
Copa ParaguayRound of 32Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan José Vázquez, San Estanislao
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Recoleta the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Deportivo Santani. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Santani vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Deportivo Recoleta starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,716 vs 1,614).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Santani have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Deportivo Recoleta have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Benjamín Aceval(away) | 3-2 | Division Intermedia |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sportivo Carapeguá(home) | 2-0 | Division Intermedia |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 12 de Junio VH(away) | 4-2 | Division Intermedia |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Encarnación(home) | 1-0 | Division Intermedia |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Paraguari AC(home) | 2-0 | Division Intermedia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sportivo Ameliano(away) | 1-3 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 0-4 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 2 de Mayo(home) | 1-2 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Boca Juniors(away) | 1-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rubio NU(away) | 3-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Deportivo Santani win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Deportivo Recoleta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2024 | Deportivo Santani 0-0 Deportivo Recoleta | Division Intermedia |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Deportivo Recoleta 6-0 Deportivo Santani | Division Intermedia |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Deportivo Santani 2-1 Deportivo Recoleta | Division Intermedia |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Deportivo Recoleta 2-1 Deportivo Santani | Division Intermedia |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Santani vs Deportivo Recoleta on Jul 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Santani score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Recoleta score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Santani | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Deportivo Recoleta | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Santani vs Deportivo Recoleta?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Recoleta the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Deportivo Santani.
- Where and when is Deportivo Santani vs Deportivo Recoleta played?
- Deportivo Santani vs Deportivo Recoleta is played on August 26, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan José Vázquez, in the Copa Paraguay.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 11, 20264 de Mayo3-2Fulgencio Yegros
- Aug 11, 2026Independiente F.b.c.1-0Sportivo Ameliano
- Aug 12, 202629 de Setiembre1-1Club Sp. San Lorenzo
- Aug 12, 2026Sportivo Iteno2-1Club Guarani
- Aug 13, 20261 de Marzo Pilar2-3Atlético Tembetary
- Aug 18, 2026Benjamín Aceval0-2Nacional Asuncion
- Aug 19, 2026Deportivo Obrero0-3Fernando De La Mora
- Aug 19, 2026Paraguari AC0-2Sportivo Luqueno