Deportivo Recoleta vs Olimpia: prediction and stats
Division Profesional - ClausuraClausura - 7Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Roque Battilana, Asunción
The Footlab model makes Olimpia the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Deportivo Recoleta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Recoleta vs Olimpia?
Olimpia starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,821 vs 1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Recoleta have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Olimpia have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sportivo Ameliano(away) | 1-3 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 0-4 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 2 de Mayo(home) | 1-2 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Boca Juniors(away) | 1-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rubio NU(away) | 3-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-4 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sportivo Ameliano(home) | 2-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 2 de Mayo(away) | 0-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rubio NU(home) | 5-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Deportivo Recoleta win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Olimpia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Olimpia 3-2 Deportivo Recoleta | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Deportivo Recoleta 0-1 Olimpia | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Deportivo Recoleta 1-0 Olimpia | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Olimpia 1-0 Deportivo Recoleta | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Olimpia 0-0 Deportivo Recoleta | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Deportivo Recoleta 1-1 Olimpia | Division Profesional - Apertura |
Last archived meeting: Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Recoleta score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Recoleta | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Olimpia | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Recoleta sit 6th in Division Profesional - Clausura (7 points from 6 matches) and Olimpia sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Deportivo Recoleta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 7 |
| 9 | Olimpia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Recoleta vs Olimpia?
- The Footlab model makes Olimpia the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Deportivo Recoleta.
- Where and when is Deportivo Recoleta vs Olimpia played?
- Deportivo Recoleta vs Olimpia is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Roque Battilana, in the Division Profesional - Clausura.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.