Deportivo Saprissa vs Escorpiones Belén: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá, San Juan de Tíbás (San José)
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Saprissa the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Escorpiones Belén. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Saprissa vs Escorpiones Belén?
Deportivo Saprissa starts as the favourite with a 231-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,665).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Saprissa have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Escorpiones Belén have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Alianza FC(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Perez Zeledon(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| May 12, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(home) | 0-1 | Liga de Ascenso |
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Saprissa score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Escorpiones Belén score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Saprissa | 2.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Escorpiones Belén | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Saprissa sit 1st in Primera División (12 points from 5 matches) and Escorpiones Belén sit 8th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Escorpiones Belén | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Saprissa vs Escorpiones Belén?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Saprissa the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Escorpiones Belén.
- Where and when is Deportivo Saprissa vs Escorpiones Belén played?
- Deportivo Saprissa vs Escorpiones Belén is played on August 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.