Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 10Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceño, Liberia
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Saprissa the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Municipal Liberia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Deportivo Saprissa starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,892 vs 1,761).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Municipal Liberia have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Deportivo Saprissa have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 26, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 18, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Alianza FC(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Municipal Liberia win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Deportivo Saprissa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 Municipal Liberia | Primera División |
| May 3, 2026 | Municipal Liberia 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa 1-2 Municipal Liberia | Primera División |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa 5-1 Municipal Liberia | Copa Costa Rica |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Municipal Liberia 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa | Copa Costa Rica |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Municipal Liberia 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Municipal Liberia score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Saprissa score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Municipal Liberia | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 2.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Saprissa the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Municipal Liberia.
- Where and when is Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa played?
- Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceño, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.