San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez, Ciudad Quesada
The Footlab model makes San Carlos the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Puntarenas FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate San Carlos (1,611) and Puntarenas FC (1,660).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Carlos have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Puntarenas FC have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | CS Herediano(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Perez Zeledon(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 22, 2026 | CS Cartagines(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Perez Zeledon(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 24, 2026 | CS Herediano(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 San Carlos win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Puntarenas FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | Puntarenas FC 0-0 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Jan 22, 2026 | San Carlos 1-0 Puntarenas FC | Primera División |
| Nov 24, 2025 | San Carlos 1-1 Puntarenas FC | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Puntarenas FC 1-2 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Puntarenas FC 1-0 San Carlos | Primera División |
| Feb 16, 2025 | San Carlos 0-1 Puntarenas FC | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos on Mar 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Carlos score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Puntarenas FC score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Carlos | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Puntarenas FC | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Carlos sit 9th in Primera División (3 points from 4 matches) and Puntarenas FC sit 6th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Puntarenas FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 9 | San Carlos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC?
- The Footlab model makes San Carlos the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Puntarenas FC.
- Where and when is San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC played?
- San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC is played on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.