Derby County U18 vs Middlesbrough U18: prediction and stats
U18 Premier League - NorthNorthKick-off on February 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Moor Farm Training Centre, Derby, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Derby County U18 the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Middlesbrough U18. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Derby County U18 vs Middlesbrough U18?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Derby County U18 (1,691) and Middlesbrough U18 (1,680).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Derby County U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Derby County U18
Not enough data to predict the Derby County U18 lineup.
Middlesbrough U18
Not enough data to predict the Middlesbrough U18 lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby County U18 have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Middlesbrough U18 have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Liverpool U18(home) | 3-3 | U18 Premier League - North |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stoke City U18(away) | 2-0 | U18 Premier League - North |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U18(home) | 0-2 | U18 Premier League - North |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Middlesbrough U18(away) | 3-1 | U18 Premier League - North |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Burnley U18(home) | 1-4 | U18 Premier League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Blackburn Rovers U18(home) | 5-0 | U18 Premier League - North |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U18(away) | 1-0 | U18 Premier League - North |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Manchester United U18(away) | 0-5 | U18 Premier League - North |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Derby County U18(home) | 1-3 | U18 Premier League - North |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Liverpool U18(away) | 2-2 | U18 Premier League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Derby County U18 wins, 1 draw, 1 Middlesbrough U18 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Middlesbrough U18 1-3 Derby County U18 | U18 Premier League - North |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Middlesbrough U18 3-2 Derby County U18 | U18 Premier League - North |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Derby County U18 0-0 Middlesbrough U18 | U18 Premier League - North |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Middlesbrough U18 2-4 Derby County U18 | U18 Premier League - North |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Derby County U18 3-1 Middlesbrough U18 | U18 Premier League - North |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Derby County U18 4-1 Middlesbrough U18 | U18 Premier League - North |
Last archived meeting: Middlesbrough U18 vs Derby County U18 on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Derby County U18 score 2.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Middlesbrough U18 score 2.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County U18 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Middlesbrough U18 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby County U18 sit 8th in U18 Premier League - North (6 points from 5 matches) and Middlesbrough U18 sit 11th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Derby County U18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 11 | Middlesbrough U18 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 5 |
A question about Derby County U18 vs Middlesbrough U18?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Derby County U18 vs Middlesbrough U18?
- The Footlab AI model makes Derby County U18 the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Middlesbrough U18.
- Where and when is Derby County U18 vs Middlesbrough U18 played?
- Derby County U18 vs Middlesbrough U18 is played on February 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Moor Farm Training Centre, in the U18 Premier League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 15, 2026Burnley U180-1Stoke City U18
- Aug 15, 2026Manchester City U182-1Liverpool U18
- Aug 15, 2026Everton U186-1Leeds United U18
- Aug 15, 2026Wolves U180-2Blackburn Rovers U18
- Aug 15, 2026Middlesbrough U182-2Leicester City U18
- Aug 15, 2026Newcastle United U183-1Derby County U18
- Aug 22, 2026Manchester United U180-1Manchester City U18
- Aug 22, 2026Newcastle United U183-2Stoke City U18