Derby County U21 vs Brentford U21: prediction and stats
Premier League CupGroup StageKick-off on December 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)The Proctor Cars Stadium, Matlock, Derbyshire
The Footlab model makes Brentford U21 the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Derby County U21 vs Brentford U21?
Brentford U21 starts as the favourite with a 272-point Elo edge (1,940 vs 1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby County U21 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Brentford U21 have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Reading U21(away) | 3-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 2-6 | National League Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hull City U21(home) | 1-4 | Premier League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Carlisle(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Brentford U21(away) | 0-2 | Professional Development League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Stoke City U21(away) | 3-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wycombe U21(home) | 2-0 | Premier League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2026 | Everton U21(away) | 2-4 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Derby County U21(home) | 2-0 | Professional Development League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Derby County U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Brentford U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Brentford U21 2-0 Derby County U21 | Professional Development League |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Derby County U21 1-4 Brentford U21 | Premier League Cup |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Brentford U21 0-1 Derby County U21 | Premier League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21 on Apr 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Derby County U21 score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Brentford U21 score 2.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County U21 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Brentford U21 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby County U21 sit 3rd in Premier League Cup (5 points from 6 matches) and Brentford U21 sit 2nd (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Brentford U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Derby County U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Derby County U21 vs Brentford U21?
- The Footlab model makes Brentford U21 the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Derby County U21.
- Where and when is Derby County U21 vs Brentford U21 played?
- Derby County U21 vs Brentford U21 is played on December 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at The Proctor Cars Stadium, in the Premier League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 11, 2026Bristol City U214-0Reading U21
- Aug 14, 2026Leicester City U213-1Plymouth U21
- Aug 14, 2026Derby County U211-4Hull City U21
- Aug 14, 2026Wolves U212-0Burnley U21
- Aug 14, 2026Stoke City U210-0Leeds United U21
- Aug 14, 2026Swansea City U213-0Birmingham City U21
- Aug 14, 2026Southampton U214-0Blackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 14, 2026Brighton U212-0Millwall U21