Derby County U21 vs Brentford U21: prediction and stats
Premier League CupGroup StageKick-off on December 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)The Proctor Cars Stadium, Matlock, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Brentford U21 the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,249 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Derby County U21 vs Brentford U21?
Brentford U21 starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,780 vs 1,574).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Derby County U21 vs Brentford U21
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Derby County U21
4-3-3- 11C. Wilson
- 9J. Oguntolu
- 9Z. Marsh
- 7C. Smith
- 3F. Jones
- 10M. Mintus
- 5A. Osayande
- 2I. Gordon
- 5Raymond Offor
- 3K. Robinson
- 1N. Bilokapić
Brentford U21
5-4-1- 9Isaac Holland
- 8R. Owen
- 7O. Shield
- 6K. Gorman
- 11Gustavo Gomes
- 5A. Grey
- 2J. Wheeler
- 4C. Avenell
- 3L. Picotto
- 5Josh Oladapo Gamu
- 1A. Stokes
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby County U21 have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Brentford U21 have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | Middlesbrough U21(away) | 1-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Wealdstone(away) | 2-2 | National League Cup |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Hull City U21(away) | 0-1 | Premier League Cup |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 3-4 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Birmingham City U21(away) | 4-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Wolves U21(home) | 0-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Wycombe U21(away) | 2-1 | Premier League Cup |
| Oct 26, 2026 | AFC Bournemouth U21(away) | 4-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 1-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Derby County U21(home) | 4-2 | Premier League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Derby County U21 win, 0 draws, 3 Brentford U21 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brentford U21 4-2 Derby County U21 | Premier League Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Brentford U21 2-0 Derby County U21 | Professional Development League |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Derby County U21 1-4 Brentford U21 | Premier League Cup |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Brentford U21 0-1 Derby County U21 | Premier League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21 on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Derby County U21 score 1.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Brentford U21 score 2.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County U21 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Brentford U21 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby County U21 sit 3rd in Premier League Cup (5 points from 6 matches) and Brentford U21 sit 2nd (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Brentford U21Group E | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Derby County U21Group B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 5 |
A question about Derby County U21 vs Brentford U21?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Derby County U21 vs Brentford U21?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brentford U21 the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Derby County U21.
- Where and when is Derby County U21 vs Brentford U21 played?
- Derby County U21 vs Brentford U21 is played on December 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at The Proctor Cars Stadium, in the Premier League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 11, 2026Bristol City U214-0Reading U21
- Aug 14, 2026Leicester City U213-1Plymouth U21
- Aug 14, 2026Derby County U211-4Hull City U21
- Aug 14, 2026Wolves U212-0Burnley U21
- Aug 14, 2026Stoke City U210-0Leeds United U21
- Aug 14, 2026Swansea City U213-0Birmingham City U21
- Aug 14, 2026Southampton U214-0Blackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 14, 2026Brighton U212-0Millwall U21