Match

Derby County U21 vs Brentford U21: prediction and stats

Premier League CupGroup StageKick-off on December 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)The Proctor Cars Stadium, Matlock, Derbyshire

Derby County U21Brentford U21

The Footlab model makes Brentford U21 the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Derby County U21 vs Brentford U21?

Brentford U21 starts as the favourite with a 272-point Elo edge (1,940 vs 1,668).

Derby County U21 win24 %
Draw21 %
Brentford U21 win55 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby County U21 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Brentford U21 have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Derby County U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Reading U21(away)3-1Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026FC Halifax Town(away)2-6National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026Hull City U21(home)1-4Premier League Cup
Aug 1, 2026Carlisle(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Apr 27, 2026Brentford U21(away)0-2Professional Development League
Brentford U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Stoke City U21(away)3-2Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 16, 2026Wycombe U21(home)2-0Premier League Cup
Aug 8, 2026Rennes(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
May 1, 2026Everton U21(away)2-4Professional Development League
Apr 27, 2026Derby County U21(home)2-0Professional Development League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Derby County U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Brentford U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2026Brentford U21 2-0 Derby County U21Professional Development League
Dec 6, 2024Derby County U21 1-4 Brentford U21Premier League Cup
Oct 21, 2024Brentford U21 0-1 Derby County U21Premier League Cup

Last archived meeting: Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21 on Apr 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Derby County U21 score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Brentford U21 score 2.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Derby County U211.32.339/159/15
Brentford U212.71.3411/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Derby County U21 sit 3rd in Premier League Cup (5 points from 6 matches) and Brentford U21 sit 2nd (12 points from 6 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Brentford U21640216512
3Derby County U21612315125

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Derby County U21 vs Brentford U21?
The Footlab model makes Brentford U21 the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Derby County U21.
Where and when is Derby County U21 vs Brentford U21 played?
Derby County U21 vs Brentford U21 is played on December 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at The Proctor Cars Stadium, in the Premier League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Derby County U21 and Brentford U21

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