Derby vs Birmingham: result 3-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 28, 2019 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Birmingham?
Derby won 3-2 on September 28, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 2′C. MartinDerby
- 50′M. WaghornDerby
- 56′G. GardnerBirmingham
- 59′I. ŠunjićBirmingham
- 74′J. PatersonDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Birmingham have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2019 | Leeds(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2019 | Cardiff(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Brentford(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Aug 27, 2019 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 24, 2019 | West Brom(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2019 | Preston(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Charlton(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Stoke City(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 25, 2019 | Swansea(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Aug 20, 2019 | Barnsley(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Derby win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Birmingham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2019 | Birmingham 2-2 Derby | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Derby 3-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Jan 13, 2018 | Birmingham 0-3 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 23, 2017 | Derby 1-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Apr 8, 2017 | Birmingham 1-2 Derby | Championship |
| Dec 27, 2016 | Derby 1-0 Birmingham | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham score 1.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Birmingham | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Birmingham sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Birmingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy