Charlton vs Birmingham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Valley, London
The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Charlton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Birmingham wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charlton vs Birmingham?
Birmingham starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (2,000 vs 1,889).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Charlton vs Birmingham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Charlton
4-2-3-1- 11M. Leaburn
- 9K. Ahearne-Grant
- 7T. Campbell
- 6C. Coventry
- 34O. Skipp
- 33Micah Mbick
- 5L. Jones
- 20D. McNamara
- 12Billy Dawson Koumetio
- 17A. Bell
- 13A. Okonkwo
Birmingham
4-2-3-1- 9A. Priske
- 24T. Iwata
- 28J. Stansfield
- 17L. Millar
- 14J. Solis
- 7Carlos Vicente
- 26B. Osayi-Samuel
- 4C. Klarer
- 5P. Neumann
- 20A. Cochrane
- 1J. Beadle
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlton have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Birmingham have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | QPR(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Preston(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Derby(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Charlton wins, 2 draws, 2 Birmingham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Charlton 1-0 Birmingham | Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Birmingham 1-1 Charlton | Championship |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Birmingham 1-0 Charlton | League One |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Charlton 1-0 Birmingham | League One |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Charlton 0-1 Birmingham | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2020 | Birmingham 1-1 Charlton | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Charlton vs Birmingham on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Charlton score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Birmingham | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charlton sit 13th in Championship (14 points from 10 matches) and Birmingham sit 4th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 17 |
| 13 | Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Charlton vs Birmingham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charlton vs Birmingham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Charlton.
- Where and when is Charlton vs Birmingham played?
- Charlton vs Birmingham is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Valley, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.